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UCF vs FIU, Cost-free Higher education Soccer Pick

UCF vs Florida International, Free College Football Pick

UCF vs Florida International Betting Odds and Picks

When: Saturday, Sept 15, 2012, 4 PM, EST
Where: BH Networks Stadium, Clearwater, Florida

UCF/FIU Odds:

Point Spread Odds: Florida International +17/Central Florida -17

The UCF Knights (1-1, 2-0) are fresh off of a tough 31-16 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes and are looking to give their fans something to cheer about. They’re in a good spot to accomplish just that when they welcome the Florida International University Golden Panthers (1-1, 0-2).

There’s no getting around the fact that Ohio State QB Braxton Miller carried the ball 27 times for 141 yards and three rushing TDs against UCF. That was good for a school record and good for him. All told, the Buckeyes ran for 256 against a UCF defense that was left holding the bag. With all due respect to the Golden Panthers, they are not Ohio State.

A more useful comparison is looking at how both teams played against the Akron Zips. In week one, UCF beat them 56-14; FIU beat them 41-38 in overtime. More importantly, the Zips only ran for 69 yards when they played the Knights and 98 against FIU. So don’t expect them to exploit the same weaknesses the Buckeyes did. (Because most teams have trouble keeping Miller in check.)

[Related – Best Online Sportbooks for Betting College Football]

Last year the Knights went into their meeting with FIU as six-point faves but lost 17-10. This year the same game is their home opener and they’ve got a bye week coming up next ahead for the big meeting with Missouri. That negates the sandwich game factor and keeps this as a plain, old circled calendar game.

Let’s face it, a Conference USA/Sun Belt matchup is about as under-the-radar as DIV 1 football gets. But when the betting public is focused on big matchups like Arkansas/Alabama, sharp bettors can find value in games like this one. (Remember, this game opened at UCF -13 and immediately jumped up when sharps sniffed a value.)

We like what we’ve seen from UCF this season and like this play a lot.

Look for the Knights to cover the -17 line.

OWR Premium Pick:

UCF -17

***

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