Posts Tagged ‘Notes’

OWR NFL 2015 Week 17 Rankings, News and Notes

Highlights heading into week 17: Sorry about the jinx, Carolina Green Bay doesn’t feel like a top ten team anymore, do they? Cincinnati vs. Arizona – Super Bowl 50 – NOOOOOOO! 2015, Three surprises: Car, Ari, Was 2015, Three disappointments: Ind, Buf, Det 2015, Three laughable collapses: Phi, Dal, NYG 2015, Three teams that still… Read more »

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OWR NFL Week 14 Rankings, News and Notes

Highlights heading into week 14: As promised, Carolina is now top dog Expect the loss to Philadelphia to be motivation for New England Denver holding; same with Cincinnati The NFC East is a cluster fuck Atlanta continues its freefall Team Projected Wins Week 13 Grades Notes CAR 15 A Still don’t look perfect, but pretty… Read more »

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OWR NFL Week 13 Rankings, Notes and News

Highlights heading into week 13: Carolina and New England are neck and neck at the top Rejuvenated Denver is knocking at the door Cincinnati will not go away Philly is the big drop of the week Free falling teams: Green Bay and Atlanta head the list Still not a lot of separation for the bottom… Read more »

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Week 5: NFL Betting Notes and Grades

NFL Week 5 team grades and betting notes Highlights: Arizona Cardinals get a downgrade, but looks like top tier team in league. Cincinnati moves to 4-0, hold highest Yards per attempt in league (10.0 yds) Denver still 10 wins, but trouble moving the football Giants moving up the ranks Use the NFL Betting calculator to… Read more »

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Week eight NFL Sunday Betting Notes

Right here are NFL Month eight Sunday Observations, which may possibly effect NFL decide on results: Large cash planning in the direction of the favored Eco-friendly Bay Packers. JAX now a +fifteen.5 level underdog at some Vegas sportsbooks Jordy Nelson is OUT for the Packers. 1 considerably less…

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Tuesday Early morning QB Week seven: Handicapping Notes

How Do NFL Bettors Capitalize in World of NFL Parity… Parity and NFL Football. The two words go hand and hand. Just look down NFL standing today and you will see this fact, loud and clear. How can NFL bettors take advantage NFL parity? That is the key question. This…

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Broncos vs Chargers: My Handicapping Notes

Denver Broncos vs San Diego Chargers, My Handicapping Notes For Monday Night&#8217s assembly of the Chargers and Broncos, OWR will not be making an formal select. But, what we will do is supply you with our handicapping notes and observations. Oddsmakers have established the Chargers as a one position favorite….

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Tuesday Morning Quarterback: Week 6 Handicapping Notes

Emotional Edges Starting to play a big role in outcomes of games, bets NFL Week 5 is in the books. With the passing of the quarter pole of the NFL season, NFL bettor need to change their handicapping approach (slightly) when analyzing upcoming games. NFL handicappers need to start realizing…

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Arizona vs St. Louis: My Handicapping Notes

Cardinals Rams Handicapping Notes - Week 5 2012

Arizona Cardinals vs St. Louis Rams Handicapping Notes

For tonight’s Arizona vs St. Louis Thursday Night Football game, OWR is not making an official pick.

Oddsmakers have set the Rams as a +1 point home underdogs. We this point spread has been well set for the matchup. As most of you know, we do not make a prediction unless we feel the line is inaccurate and we see “value”.

To assist our users in handicapping this Arizona vs Rams Prime Time game (which I know everyone likes to bet), I will provide my handicapping notes for the contest. I will list here all my notes and observations I made when handicapping this contest.

Just a word of caution – Be careful when you place your wager on tonight’s game. This is line has been well set. We don’t feel their is a substantial edge bettors gain when wagering on this matchup.

But, if your are looking to bet the game, use the information below as another tool in your handicapping tool box…

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Arizona Cardinals vs St. Louis Rams Handicapping Notes

1. Arizona enters this contest with a 4-0 record (3-1 ATS). They have quality wins vs. Seattle, New England and Philadelphia.

2. Their team is lead by solid defense. Arizona currently rank 1st in Average Starting Field position, 4th in total takeaways per game (2.5). 12th in the league in Yards Allowed Per Pass Attempt.

3. These are impactful statistics that show the true efficiency of Arizona’s defense. And these stats have been posted against top offenses in the league (NE and PHI).

4. Offensively, Arizona is fair at best. A reflection of this is ARI 29th ranking in Yards Per Pass Attempt (YDSA). They can also be turnover prone (1.5 giveaways per game).

5. Arizona also ranks last in the league in average yards per drive. Another indicator their offensive fire power is limited.

5. Arizona will look to keep the score low and play solid defense. That is their mantra. When the can keep the scoring down, they win ball games.

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6. St. Louis enter this match up with a 2-2 overall record (3-1 ATS). They have one quality win on the season (WAS at home).

7. STL has done a decent job on defense in 2012. They rank 11th in Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed and 10th is Avg. Starting Field Position…

8. St. Louis has also been able to turn teams over effectively. They average 2 takeaways per game (ranks 10th in the NFL).

9. Offensively, St. Louis iis similar to Arizona in many respects. They rank a the bottom of the league in many offensive efficiency statistics…

10 STL ranks 28th in Average Yards per Drive and 25th in YDSA.

11. I would not put much weight into recent trends between these two teams. Past data will play a very minor role in the outcome of this game.

Arizona vs St. Louis -What The Guide to NFL Investing show us…

When we run this game through our NFL Betting System, “The Guide to NFL Investing” (learn more), we find that this line is set well.

In our Week 5 Power Rankings, we have determined STL as a 6 win team and ARI as a 9 win team.

Taking these win totals into consideration, we find the line should be…

St. Louis +1

As you can see, this is almost exactly as the books have it. So again, I would be very cautious playing the side in this meeting. This game could come down to a field goal either way.

Arizona vs St. Louis Handicapping Summary:

I see this game as being a defensive battle, where offense is limited. Arizona is clearly the better team in this matchup, but there are several factors at play that could drive ARI to play below their skill.

Remember, this is road game for ARI, on a short week. Always a tough setup for any team.

Overall, I see this game begin a 3 point contest. My perspective on the league shows that this line is well set, so be cautious.

Next, see our Seattle at Carolina Week 5 Free Pick…

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Ravens vs Browns: My Handicapping Notes

Ravens Browns Handicapping Notes, Betting Trends

Handicapping Notes for the Thursday Ravens/Browns game

Lets get ready for some football!  NFL week 4 kicks off tonight with Thursday Night football’s Baltimore Ravens vs the Cleveland Browns.

In this article, I am posting my Ravens/Browns handicapping notes. No free NFL picks here. No opinions. These are the raw, random facts and observations I made when handicapping this game. These are provided to you to help you handicap this game and develop your pick.

To read my opinions on the game, visit my Ravens/Browns free pick.

Let’s get right to it!  And if you have any questions or comments, visit our Sports Betting Forum for more.

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Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore is 2-1. Home wins (CIN, NE), 1 road loss (PHI).

BAL is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in 2012

Baltimore average margin of victory/defeat is 10 points. This includes a 31 point victory vs CIN

Baltimore was a 12+ point favorite 3 times in 2011. They lost all 3 games ATS.

Last 3 season, Baltimore is 1-5 ATS when a 10+ favorite

BAL is playing their 3rd game of 2012 on 6 days or less rest.

BAL has gone over 3 of 3 games in 2012.

Baltimore games are averaging 55 total points (teams combined) in 2012

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games

BAL net points scored/allowed is 31 points in 2012

Baltimore ranks #4 in the league in Yard Per Pass Attempt

Baltimore ranks 27th in Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed

BAL ranks 10th in takeaways per game (2.0)

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland is 0-3 – Home losses (PHI, BUF), Road Loss (CIN)

Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in 2012

CLE games have been decided by an average of 6 points in 2012

Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Cleveland was a 12+ point underdog only twice in 2011. They went 1-1 ATS

Cleveland is 4-2 ATS the last 3 years when 10+ point underdog

Cleveland games have gone UNDER 2 out of 3

CLE is averaging 19 points per game

CLE’s net point scored margin is -18 points in 2012

Cleveland 31st in Yards Per Pass Attempt

Cleveland Ranks 15th in Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed

Cleveland ranks 10th in sack percentage (6.87%)

CLE ranks 6th in Takeaways per game (2.3)

BAL/CLE Head to Head

Betting consensus is have on BAL. 60% of bettors taking BAL and laying 12 to 12.5 points.

The last 5 meetings between CLE and BAL have been decided by an average of 10.6 points

Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore

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